Project duration:  2019-2023

Funding agencies: This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No.821115.

Personnel:  Dr. Danijel Schorlemmer, Dr. Cecilia Nievas, Dr. Javier Quinteros (2.4)

Project website: http://www.rise-eu.org 

GFZ led an integration task focused on demonstrating how different developments of the RISE project in the fields of operational earthquake loss forecasting (OELF), rapid loss assessment (RLA) and structural health monitoring (SHM) can work together for the dynamic assessment of seismic damage and losses (Nievas 2023a, 2023d). We developed the open-source software named Real-Time Loss Tools (RTLTs, Nievas et al., 2023c, 2025) not only to make this task possible but also with the objective of creating a tool that the research community could use to explore all the aspects of this integration and develop strategies for future scalability and operationalisation. 

Building upon the well-established open-source OpenQuake engine (Pagani et al., 2024; Silva et al., 2014) for the calculation of seismic hazard and risk, the Real-Time Loss Tools calculate numbers of damaged buildings, economic losses and human casualties due to the occurrence of several earthquakes during a short time span, accounting for the accumulation of damage as well as the relocation of building occupants during the seismic sequence and at different times of the day.

Publications:

• Nievas, C.I., Crowley, H., Weatherill, G., Cotton, F. (2025). Real-Time Loss Tools: Open-Source Software for Time- and State-Dependent Seismic Damage and Loss Calculations – Features and Application to the 2023 Türkiye-Syria Sequence. Seismica, in press.
• Nievas, C.I., Crowley, H., Reuland, Y., Weatherill, G., Baltzopoulos, G., Bayliss, K., Chatzi, E., Chioccarelli, E., Guéguen, P., Iervolino, I., Marzochhi, W., Naylor, M., Orlacchio, M., Pejovic, J., Popovic, N., Serafini, F. and Serdar, N. (2023a). Integration of RISE Innovations in the Fields of OELF, RLA and SHM. RISE Project Deliverable 6.1. Available from: http://static.seismo.ethz.ch/rise/deliverables/Deliverable_6.1.pdf
• Nievas, C.I., Crowley, H., Reuland, Y., Weatherill, G., Baltzopoulos, G., Bayliss, K., Chatzi, E., Chioccarelli, E., Guéguen, P., Iervolino, I., Marzochhi, W., Naylor, M., Orlacchio, M., Pejovic, J., Popovic, N., Serafini, F. and Serdar, N. (2023b). Integration of RISE innovations in the fields of OELF, RLA and SHM: input and output datasets (Version 1.0) [Data set]. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7784841. GitLab: https://git.gfz-potsdam.de/real-time-loss-tools/rise-d6-1-data-files
• Nievas, C.I., Crowley, H. and Weatherill, G. (2023c). Real-Time Loss Tools. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7948699. GitLab: https://git.gfz-potsdam.de/real-time-loss-tools/real-time-loss-tools
• Nievas, C., Crowley, H., Reuland, Y., Weatherill, G., Baltzopoulos, G., Bayliss, K., Chatzi, E., Guéguen, P., Naylor, M., Orlacchio, M., Pejovic, J., Serafini, F., Serdar, N. (2023d). Exploration of state-dependent rapid loss assessment and event-based operational earthquake loss forecasting incorporating structural health monitoring: an open-source tool. Proceedings, SECED 2023 Conference: Earthquake Engineering and Dynamics for a Sustainable Future. Cambridge, UK, 10 p.